Will Poland's Ministry of Foreign Affairs publicly announce a formal diplomatic measure against Israel — such as recalling its ambassador, expelling an Israeli diplomat, or backing EU-level sanctions — over the closed World Central Kitchen investigation by September 20, 2026?

Question 1

Accepted Answer

As of September 16, 2026, nobody has traded this market yet, so it carries no market-implied probability. Yes opens at 50¢ and No at 50¢ — the prices every Stips market is seeded with before anyone takes a side, which should not be quoted as a 50% forecast. The market is open for trading in play money and closes September 20, 2026.

Question 2

How will "Will Poland's Ministry of Foreign Affairs publicly announce a formal diplomatic measure against Israel — such as recalling its ambassador, expelling an Israeli diplomat, or backing EU-level sanctions — over the closed World Central Kitchen investigation by September 20, 2026?" be settled?

Accepted Answer

Trading stops at the close time on September 20, 2026, after which the market is settled against public evidence — an official announcement, a published result or a primary source, such as reporting from middleeasteye.net. Winning positions are paid automatically in play credits; losing positions pay nothing.