Will Igor Legarreta's 'The Blind Ants' win a prize at the 2026 San Sebastián Film Festival awards by September 22, 2026?

Question 1

Accepted Answer

As of September 19, 2026, nobody has traded this market yet, so it carries no market-implied probability. Yes opens at 50¢ and No at 50¢ — the prices every Stips market is seeded with before anyone takes a side, which should not be quoted as a 50% forecast. The market is open for trading in play money and closes September 22, 2026.

Question 2

How will "Will Igor Legarreta's 'The Blind Ants' win a prize at the 2026 San Sebastián Film Festival awards by September 22, 2026?" be settled?

Accepted Answer

Trading stops at the close time on September 22, 2026, after which the market is settled against public evidence — an official announcement, a published result or a primary source, such as reporting from variety.com. Winning positions are paid automatically in play credits; losing positions pay nothing.